Your Transnational Real Estate Market Space — Catered to by Property Index

June 20th, 2008

Review one of the world’s greatest selections of properties in Spain here!

Even though PropertyIndex.com is really a new kid on the block house, starting their business only in March of 2007, they were quick to advance to expert status. As a matter of fact, they are a extraordinarily down to earth house exclusively focused on advising any individual planning to sell, buy, rent, etc. real estate across the globe. What they affirm is to assist you light on bang-on what you desire very quickly as well as, of course, unproblematically. Estate is available for the asking in most areas of the world these days, one of the swankiest areas being property for sale in Spain. It’s no effort to chart the marvelous property you can purchase in Spain, one motive for picking properties here being a combination of the houses and apartments available and the option of being able to live together with this spirited people.

This is one of the truly trendy markets these days, and with the lovely landscape and sunshine that surrounds you all year long, how could you be wrong… Estate in Spain is very rich in history, culture and art, this region has been and still is home to a lot of sophisticated nations. About 20 years ago there’d be a mere dribble of Britishers looking for property in Spain. Ask everyone who has moved to Spain and they’ll certainly back this up. Many people would are tagging it a simple trend and others are tagging it a approximating to an infatuation! Shoppers keen on removing to this area will typically range from young urban professionals in search of a bit of a new life perspective to seniors looking to enjoy themselves and slow down.

Do bear in mind, though, that there may be hitches when attempting to acquire property in a foreign market - you’ll want to cope with 100s of procedures when scheduling, inspecting or completing. If you miss out on one single minute step this can definitely initiate insurmountable hitches not to forget, even more importantly, a financial hammering. Naturally, as can be counted on with this favored area, property could well be costly in this area which is naturally caused by the high market pressure. This notwithstanding, homebuyers indeed are a bit spoilt in terms of choice in a destination blessed by fabulous scenery. Actually it’s got the whole thing a homebuyer may covet, etc.

Ten New Investment Concepts, the Time has come.

April 10th, 2008

There’s a rumor going around that the Mutual Funds are broken and just can’t work anymore, for a multitude of reasons. They’ve tried index funds, but these, too, have been less than impressive since they hit the street a few years back, and are now being enhanced… what does that say? Here are some new and/or forgotten ideas that can get your investment program back on track:

1. Abandon the popular averages: Over the past six years, all of the major averages are grossly negative or just beginning to get back toward their best past levels. At the same time, the NYSE advance/decline line has been extremely positive. Additionally, the last time the averages were up, issue breadth was totally negative.

2. And the basics of investing, again, are what? Most investors confuse Quality with analyst expectations and think that Diversification means getting one of every product type that’s out there. In fact, they are basic risk minimization tools that every investor needs to use.

3. Appreciate the power of income: Base Income just has to grow every year, period, for a person to have any hope of keeping up with inflation. That’s right, growing Market Value is inflationary… particularly with respect to hat size, and income paves the road to retirement income.

4. Buy low (within reason), sell higher: Profitable company stock prices fluctuate just like unprofitable ones. The difference is that the former are much more likely to move back up again. Buy quality at lower prices (just like any other form of shopping), big BUT, set a reasonable (10% or so) profit-taking target… and pull the trigger. Re-load, and do it again.

5. Embrace The Working Capital Model: For both portfolio Asset Allocation and Performance Evaluation, use the cost basis of your holdings as opposed to their Market Value. This is the only way to use short time periods (a year being the shortest for anything at all meaningful) for any kind of analysis. Also, as a bonus, you’ll never make another fixed income mistake.

6. Fall in love with Volatility, not with securities of any kind: Market volatility is one of the few things (if there are any at all) that you can be certain about. Use it wisely and it will shorten your road to investment success. All too often, unrealized gains on the loved ones become realized losses on the tax return.

7. Remember Peak-to-Peak and Trough-to-Trough: There was a time when tests like these (and variations like P to T, or T to P) where the only valid (Market Value) tests of a manager’s ability. They still are. I have never found a correlation between the calendar year and any market, interest rate, or economic cycle.

8. Corrections are every bit as lovable as rallies: In truth, profit taking is more fun, and much easier decision-making than buying stocks while in the throes of a falling Equity Market. But one is just the flip side of the other, and you need to learn the lyrics to Every Day just as you knew Peggy Sue.

9. Understand The Investor’s Creed: How did trading get a bad rep? What is a stock exchange? Buy and hold just doesn’t fit. The key is timing (not market timing) and selectivity. In a rising market you should be selling more than buying, resulting in a growing cash position. This is a good thing. In a falling market you should be buying more than selling, resulting in a smaller cash position… also a good thing. If you run out of cash while the market is still falling, you are doing it right. By the same token, if you feel stupid having taken your profits and the market is still foaming, your brilliance will not be your only reward.

10. Investing is not a competitive event: It’s all about you: your money, your risk tolerance, your goals, and your objectives. It doesn’t matter what the others are doing, why and how. Think about this. There is no average, index, or benchmark that can be compared to the Market Value changes of a properly diversified portfolio. Nadda.

11. Establish Rules and Apply Discipline… a bonus idea. Just do it.

From: “The Brainwashing of the American Investor: The Book that Wall Street Does Not Want YOU to Read”

Steve Selengut
sanserve@aol.com
Professional Investment Portfolio Manager since 1979
BA Business, Gettysburg College; MBA Professional Management, Pace U.
Author of: “The Brainwashing of the American Investor: The Book that Wall Street Does Not Want YOU to Read”, and “A Millionaire’s Secret Investment Strategy”

Rising Into the End of the Year

April 8th, 2008

SPX rallied over 100 points from mid-October to late-November. Many, if not most, expected the beginning of a cyclical bear market last month. Consequently, heavy short-positions were taken, in October and November. However, it turned out, SPX rallied to 4 1/2 year highs, while a “short-squeeze” took place over the past week, extending the cyclical bull market. The rally may continue into the end of the year, although the market may consolidate short-term. Typically, steep rallies (without consolidations) lead to volatile consolidations or steep pullbacks. So, I expect a volatile week next week, and over the first week or two of December.

The first chart is an SPX daily chart that shows both RSI and ULT (an oscillator) are both over 70, which is rare for an index. Consequently, a pullback may take place within the next week. The two previous pullbacks (see circle) were both to the 10 day MAs. Currently, the 10 day MA is just over 1,243 and rising about five points a day. Other major support levels are 1,253 (multi-year Fibonacci level), 1,246 (previous four-year high), 1,235 (congestion area), and 1,227 (20-day MA, which is also rising sharply).

The second chart is an SPX monthly chart. SPX has generally traded between the middle and upper monthly Bollinger Bands over the recent bull market. On Wednesday, SPX rose above 1,270, which was slightly above the upper Bollinger Band at 1,268, and then pulled-back. So, 1,270 may be short-term resistance. The monthly Bollinger Band may rise above 1,280 next month. Consequently, it’s possible, SPX will rise to about 1,300 in late December or early January.

There are several factors driving the market. Negative sentiment tends to be a contrarian indicator and created the recent short-squeeze. Investment funds want a strong quarter to finish the year with the highest possible returns. Consequently, the best performing stocks this year may continue to rise into the end of the year for “window dressing.” Oil prices have stabilized between $56 and $59 a barrel after rising above $70, and a warmer than average winter may lower oil prices further. Expectation of a strong holiday shopping season, viewing economic data as “half full” rather than “half empty,” and a belief the Fed tightening cycle will be over early next year will contribute to keep the market high.

Charts available at PeakTrader.com Forum Index Market Overview section.

Arthur Albert Eckart is the founder and owner of PeakTrader. Arthur has worked for commercial banks, e.g. Wells Fargo, Banc One, and First Commerce Technologies, during the 1980s and 1990s. He has also worked for Janus Funds from 1999-00. Arthur Eckart has a BA & MA in Economics from the University of Colorado. He has worked on options portfolio optimization since 1998.

Mr Eckart has developed a comprehensive trading methodology using economics, portfolio optimization, and technical analysis to maximize return and minimize risk at the same time and over time. This methodology has resulted in excellent returns with low risk over the past four years.